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2017 SRE Project

Modeling the Spread of La Crosse Virus in East Tennessee

Mentors:
Dr. Suzanne Lenhart, NIMBioS; Professor, Mathematics, Univ. of Tennessee
Dr. Rebecca Trout Fryxell, Asst. Professor, Medical and Veterinary Entomology, Univ. of Tennessee

Participants: Brian Hardison (Pi Beta Phi Elementary School); Patrick Wise (Univ. of Delaware); Maitraya Ghatak (Univ. of Tennessee); Javier Urcuyo (Arizona State Univ.)

photo.
Credit: Macroscopic Solutions

In North America, La Crosse encephalitis is the leading mosquito-borne disease among children and is transmitted via the bite of Aedes mosquitoes infected with La Crosse virus. The disease and its vectors are common in southern Appalachia. Using biological data (mosquito and virus collections), environmental data (precipitation and temperature), and epidemiological data (diagnosed cases) we will develop mathematical models to explain and illustrate the spread of the virus in eastern Tennessee. Our goal is to identify potentially predictive variables or features associated with increased mosquito numbers, positive mosquitoes, and human cases.

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Project group (from L): Javier Urcuyo, Brian Hardison, Rebecca Trout Fryxell, Suzanne Lenhart, Patrick Wise, Maitraya Ghatak

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NSF logo. NIMBioS is sponsored by the National Science Foundation through NSF Award #DBI-1300426, with additional support from The University of Tennessee, Knoxville. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this material are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation.
 
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